A recent research paper by  (SEforALL AND Power For All, 2017) puts the Energy Access Dividend for Ethiopia the following way.

The Government of Ethiopia has a target to deliver access to connect 90 percent of towns and villages to the grid by 2020. The electrification rate to achieve this 2020 target has been extrapolated forward and indicates that universal access could be achieved in 2031 if progress were to continue at this rate.

The benefits that would accrue in terms of financial savings, study time and emissions reduction if this electrification rate were accelerated so that universal access could be delivered in 2030—the SDG 7 target year—instead are presented here. This would bring forward universal access by 1-year.

The household Energy Access Dividend includes total (gross) savings $4 at Tier 1 and $6 at Tiers 2 to 5. These annual expenditure savings are equivalent to 0.6 percent and 0.9 percent of average per capita income in 2016. Each household without electricity misses out on an estimated 77 hours of home study, equivalent to about 5 percent of a school year. CO2 emission reductions are estimated to be 8 kg and 15 kg, depending on the Tier of access. Black carbon emission reductions are 110 kg CO2 e and 209 kg CO2 e a year depending on the Tier of access which is equivalent to between 7.3 percent and 13.8 percent of annual per capita CO2 e emissions in 2013.

The national Energy Access Dividend for the Government Target Scenario includes expenditure savings of $328 million (about 0.5 percent of total GNI in 2016). Annually, the dividend includes the equivalent of a school year for 1.4 percent of the school-age population. Annual emission reductions included in the dividend, CO2 and black carbon, are equivalent to about 1.2 percent of Ethiopia’s total annual CO2 e emissions in 2013.

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